Friday, March 31, 2006

Darn, only three games left in college basketball. We hit our only hoop Wise Guy play last night on the ‘Cocks in a rout.  At this point it looks like at least one Wise Guy side for tomorrow’s Final Four and a Major on the other.  We still have some research on the totals.  But tonight we have three NBA Major plays. 

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NBA

DALLAS -5 Orlando

A five point or more road favorite of a SU loss as an away dog is more than a 60 percent play since 1983. For a team to be more than a five-point road favorite, you are almost always talking about a superior team against a greatly inferior.  For that superior team to have been a dog the previous game, they likely were playing another top-notch team.  So it says that a superior team loses to another superior team and takes out their frustrations on the inferior team.

Dallas has lost two straight but never have they lost three in a row under Avery Johnson.  They are a much better team with Josh Howard in the line-up and he is expected to return tonight.  As we mention at JoeDuffy.net Their record since he went out with a strained left hamstring is 8-6. He came back for 13 minutes in one game. But since that false start nine games ago, they’re 5-4.